Once again the A’s are the higher seeded underdog against
the Tigers for the ALDS. Be underdog
status as it may, the A’s did take the Tigers to 5 games last year. I predict the A’s will win this time, in 4
games. The A’s know how to play the
Tigers now. They nearly swept them in a
4 game series *in* Detroit a couple months ago (winning 3 of the 4
games, and they should have won the 4th). The Tigers pitching isn’t what it was last
year. They still have a ridiculous
batting lineup, but again, it isn’t quite what it was last year.
The larger context is simple; the Tigers are essentially a
single thing - great starters and a powerful middle of the batting order. Impressive yes, but also predictable. You know what to expect, they are a fixed
target.
The A’s however are like a transformer. They have a ton of extra pitching (granted
the bullpen has been a little shaky in the second half of the season, but I
think that ship has been righted and they are ready to go). The batting order can flip over from left to
right at the drop of a hat. Crisp and
Callaspo are switch hitters, and they have so many B+/A- hitters on the bench
(who can play multiple positions in the field) that they can continuously
adjust to new opposing pitchers.
The only thing you do know about the A’s is that they are
going to customize the team, on the fly, to make life unpleasant for you. They are a moving target. With the Tigers in a more fragile state, and
the A’s knowing better how to mix-and-match, I think this shifts the edge to
the A’s.
Lastly, home field advantage. It’s a big deal for the A’s. Even the Tigers’ analysts admitted last year
that the A’s fans were a different breed.
I’ll call them refreshingly insane.
The O.co is a tough place to play on its own, and add the Oakland fans
who know the game and are loud as hell, and it’s going to be miserable for the
Tigers. So, you can say what you will
about the superstars on the Tigers, the A’s are gonna take ‘em.
This is an epic matchup of big money (5th highest
payroll) and individual talent in the Tigers vs. small money (5th
lowest payroll) and team effectiveness in the A’s. So, when the A’s pull off what they are about
to, you will have seen a smart, cohesive team outperform a collection of
supremely talented individual players.
Go A’s! Let’s Go
OAK-LAND!!!